Source: Elexon BMRS. Updated every 5 minutes.
Source: GIE AGSI. Updated daily.
How the UK's total final energy demand is met — across all sectors, not just electricity. Oil and gas together account for 75% of all energy used in the UK. The electricity grid, however clean, addresses only the remaining 20%.
Oil dominates through transport — petrol, diesel, aviation and shipping. Gas dominates through residential heating (85% of UK homes) and industrial processes. Electricity from all sources — coal, gas, nuclear, wind, solar — is approximately a fifth of total consumption. Decarbonising the electricity system is important, but it addresses a minority of the total energy challenge. Source: DESNZ Energy Trends 2024.
At 43.5%, UK energy import dependency is at its highest in over a decade. In 2000 it was 10%. Policy, not geology, is driving the trend. Source: DESNZ Energy Trends; OEUK Business Outlook 2026.
UK domestic production is falling while demand stays broadly flat. The gap between the two lines must be met by imports.
Sources: NSTA Production and Expenditure Projections, February 2026; DESNZ Net Zero Strategy demand pathway; OEUK Business Outlook 2026.
The seasonal storage cycle shows the UK filling in summer and drawing down through winter. Compare the UK fill level against the EU average to understand the structural gap.
Wholesale energy prices are no longer the main driver. Networks and policy costs now dominate.
Sources: Norwegian Offshore Directorate January 2026. NSTA 2025. OEUK Business Outlook 2026.
Sources: OEUK Business Outlook 2026; NSTA November 2025 projections; Norwegian Offshore Directorate January 2026; Wood Mackenzie.
Percentage of investment in each low-carbon sector that can be delivered by the existing UK oil and gas supply chain. Losing the supply chain now means losing the capability to build the clean energy future.
Sources: OEUK Economic Report 2025; OEUK Business Outlook 2026 p.34; Rystad Energy for OEUK 2025.
Three key votes: the Offshore Petroleum Licensing Bill (January 2024), the EPL rate increase (October 2024) and the Great British Energy Bill (October 2024). MPs elected at the July 2024 general election will show "Not yet elected" for the January 2024 vote.
Assumptions and data sources
This modeller is a directional tool, not a forecast. Coefficients are drawn from the OEUK Business Outlook Report 2026 and OEUK Scotland Manifesto 2026.
Baseline: 240,000 UK jobs, £36bn GVA, £5bn annual investment, £5bn tax receipts, EPL at 78%.
EPL reform scenario (111 projects, £50bn, 3.5bn boe): OEUK member data submitted ahead of the 2025 Autumn Budget. Business Outlook 2026, p.16.
LNG import dependency: NSTA November 2025 projections vs OEUK upside scenario. Business Outlook 2026, Figure 7. Norway data: Norwegian Offshore Directorate, January 2026.
NSTA central case: based on NSTA November 2025 production projections. CCC pathway: derived from Climate Change Committee Sixth Carbon Budget technical report.
| Measure | 🇬🇧 UK | 🇳🇴 Norway |
|---|---|---|
| Annual investment | ~£5bn | ~£20bn |
| Exploration wells 2025 | 0 | ~30 wells |
| New licences Jan 2026 | 0 | 57 to 19 companies |
| Headline tax rate | 78% | 78% (stable rules) |
| Policy direction | Uncertain | "Develop, not phase out" |
Sources: OEUK Business Outlook 2026; NSTA. Investment figures are UKCS upstream capex + opex.
New independent polling conducted by Opinium with a representative sample of 2,000 UK adults shows consistent public support for a pragmatic, balanced approach to energy policy.
Secure, not unstable
Balanced, not extreme
Source: Opinium, March 2026, n=2,000. Representative sample.
An independent analysis by Westwood Global Energy Group for OEUK finds that up to 7.5 billion barrels of oil equivalent could still be produced from UK waters, around 3.2 billion more than current government estimates. This additional production could add up to £165 billion in economic value.
Sources: Westwood Global Energy Group for OEUK 2026. NSTA production projections. Climate Change Committee Balanced Net Zero Pathway. OEUK Briefing Document April 2026.
The OEUK Energy Dashboard brings together live and published data on UK offshore energy in one place. It is designed for policymakers, parliamentary staff, journalists and industry professionals who need quick access to reliable, sourced figures on UK energy security, production, investment and policy.
The tool updates automatically throughout the day. Where live data is unavailable, published figures from OEUK and NSTA reports are used and clearly labelled as such.
Source: NESO Carbon Intensity API. Updated every 30 minutes. Intensity is gCO2 per kWh of electricity consumed in each Distribution Network Operator region.
Source: UK Parliament Bills API. Updated every 6 hours. Tracks Bills matching energy, oil and gas, and offshore.